- Date Wed, 13 Feb 2019Time 18:00 – 19:00Location AIIA (ACT Branch)The AIIA (ACT) invites you to help answer a big international question: “Is the world entering a new cold war or a hot peace?”That’s the topic for a debate to launch our 2019 events program. Come along to hear the arguments, offer your thoughts and questions, and cast your vote on cold war versus hot peace.The former Australian diplomat, Tony Kevin, will argue that the world is already in a new kind of cold war, involving three major Western strategies aggressively in play against Russia and China: overt and covert information warfare, provocative military strategies, and attempted exclusion from international economic mechanisms. This new cold war lacks the ideological confrontation and autarkic strategies of the US-Soviet cold war - both sides belong to and aspire to play leading roles in the one global order and multilateral trading system - but it is a real cold war nevertheless, with US and its NATO allies trying to effect regime change on Russia and its partners. With Russia’s newfound strength and confidence, this is unlikely.The case for hot peace will be made by the journalist and AIIA Fellow, Graeme Dobell, drawing on his essay ‘Not the new cold war’. He argues we shouldn’t revive a dangerous label that doesn’t fit today’s facts: Why don the old binary bifocals of a bipolar, bloc confrontation? What we have now is an era of intense contact, where competition and cooperation are simultaneous. Many different players. Many different games. The hot peace will be defined by complex compromises as much as by contest – warm work, not frigid standoff.Graeme Dobell has been reporting on Australian and international politics, foreign affairs, defence, and the Asia-Pacific since 1975. As Journalist Fellow at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute since 2013, he writes a weekly column for ASPI’s on-line journal, The Strategist. Graeme has served as a Radio Australia correspondent in Canberra, Europe, America and throughout East Asia and the South Pacific. He was the ABC’s Southeast Asia correspondent, based in Singapore, and did several stints as the Canberra-based Foreign Affairs & Defence Correspondent for Radio Australia from 1978 to 2008, reporting also for ABC radio news and current affairs programs and ABC television. He worked as a journalist in the Parliamentary Press Gallery in Canberra in 1978-81, 1986-89 and 1991-2008. He is the author of the book Australia Finds Home — the Choices and Chances of an Asia Pacific Journey, published in 2000. In 2011, he was made a Fellow of the Australian Institute of International Affairs “for his distinguished contribution to journalism through his reporting on politics and international affairs.”
Tony Kevin was an Australian career diplomat from 1968 to 1998. His work experience focussed on issues of East-West relations in the Cold War, and on the post-Communist transitions in Russia, Central Europe and Cambodia. His final DFAT postings were as Australian Ambassador to Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia (1991-94) and to Cambodia (1994-97). Since retiring from government service in 1998, he has been a non-fiction author (with five books published in Australia) and an independent commentator on Australian foreign affairs, increasingly in recent years on Russia-West relations. His 2017 literary travel memoir ‘Return to Moscow’ offers an unfamiliar friendly perspective on Russia. Tony won the ACT Book of the Year award twice, for A Certain Maritime Incident: The Sinking of SIEV X (Scribe, 2004) and Walking the Camino (Scribe, 2007). He is an Emeritus Fellow of the Australian National University.
Refreshments available from 5:30pmMore >
- Date Wed, 27 Feb 2019Time 18:00 – 19:00Location AIIA (ACT Branch)
Indonesia has had seven presidents since Independence in 1945. The first two presidents, Sukarno and Soeharto, dominated the governance of Indonesia for 50 years. Since then, five presidents have led the nation. The seven presidents have been remarkable leaders. They have had strikingly different styles of leadership. They have each served Indonesia in different ways. Overall, the leadership of the seven presidents should surely be judged as very successful. A key goal for all of them has been to build Indonesia towards the goal of becoming a just and prosperous society (masyarakat yang adil dan makmur). The whole of the Southeast Asian region, including Australia, has benefited from the successful leadership in Indonesia under the seven presidents of the nation since Independence.